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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.South Korea says economic and market uncertainties still exist.Australian Government: Australia will provide Papua New Guinea with $600 million in 10 years to help rugby league teams enter Australia's top leagues.

South Korea's Seoul Composite Index rose to 1%.Han Dongxun, leader of South Korea's ruling party, said that President Yin Xiyue should be dismissed immediately. The only way is for the ruling party members to vote for impeachment.Brazilian farmers' lobby demanded the lifting of the ban on planting soybeans in the deforested Amazon rainforest. A Brazilian farmers' lobby is seeking to terminate a 20-year-old agreement that prohibits grain traders from buying soybeans from deforested farms in the Amazon rainforest, claiming that the agreement has created an unfair competition environment. Aprosoja-MT, a soybean farmers' lobbying organization located in western Mato Grosso, said on Wednesday that the agreement encouraged "purchasing cartels" and harmed the interests of farmers who strictly abide by the forest laws of South American countries. The statement said that it had formally asked the anti-monopoly watchdog CADE to terminate the agreement.

In the first 11 months of the North Stock Exchange, the issuance scale of new shares decreased by nearly 770% year-on-year, and the new shares rose by over 100% on the first day. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 20 new shares listed on the North Stock Exchange, and the total amount of funds raised was about 4.175 billion yuan, down by nearly 70% year-on-year. The scale of new shares is generally small, and the number of new shares raised less than 200 million yuan accounts for 65% of the total number of new shares. The share price of 70% new shares rose over 100% on the first day of listing. Among them, the share price of Tongguan Mining Construction rose by 731.41% on the first day of listing, and the share prices of Shengye Electric, Keli and Wanyuantong rose by over 300% on the first day. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of projects underwritten by CITIC Jiantou Securities was the highest, with a total project scale of about 699 million yuan, followed by First Venture Securities and Minsheng Securities. (Xinhua Finance)Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.